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The study of pedestrian plaza's influence on crime rates in New York City, using geospatial data and focusing on location and seasonal variations - UCL Dissertation / Thesis - University College London - Masters in Crime and Forensic Science

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Abstract: Reduction of crime is the main focus of Crime Science, where it aims to achieve this through scientific methods from many disciplines. Understanding the relationship between crime and its immediate environment can help create useful, cost effective and non-traditional crime prevention techniques. This study focuses on the influence public plazas have on crime counts through encouraging interaction amongst people. To investigate this, a radius of 200 meters surrounding 28 public plazas in New York City had been chosen to provide crime counts of the crime type personal robbery, pickpocketing and purse snatching. A timeframe of approx. two years before the plazas were constructed and approx. two years after their opening was chosen. ArcMap™ geospatial processing program was used to collect geospatial crime data provided online from Crime Open Database of Open Science Framework. Stata software was chosen to analyse the collected data and conduct Poisson analysis of the crime counts and the corresponding categorical variables. This study also considered location and seasonal variations. It was demonstrated that the variable of whether or not the plazas were open is not a statistically significant predictor of crime in that area due to the Pvalue being too large (P0.05). We can say from this project that there is approx. 5.7% more crime on average in the time frame when the plazas are open than when the plazas are not, however, we cannot conclude that this number is greater than what we would expect by chance due to the p-value being too large. For future research, it is recommended that the limitations discussed at the end of this project be considered in order to obtain a larger set of data, where analysis of a larger data will allow for a more significant result.

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THE STUDY OF PEDESTRIAN PLAZA’S INFLUENCE
ON CRIME RATES IN NEW YORK CITY, USING
GEOSPATIAL DATA AND FOCUSING ON LOCATION
AND SEASONAL VARIATIONS




Eva Thiel




Dissertation submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of MSc in Crime and Forensic
Science (UCL) of the University of London in 2019.


UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON


UCL DEPARTMENT OF SECURITY AND CRIME SCIENCE




This Dissertation is an unrevised examination copy for consultation only and it should not be quoted or cited
without the permission of the Chairman of the Board of
Examiners of the MSc in Crime and Forensic Science (UCL)

, University College London
Department of Security and Crime Science


MSc and MRes Dissertations




SUPERVISOR’S DECLARATION




Name of student: Eva Thiel


Name of (primary) supervisor: Dr Matt Ashby




I confirm that the student named above has undertaken this dissertation under my supervision, attended
meetings with me as requested and provided me with adequate information about the progress of the research.




Supervisor’s signature: Matt Ashby


Date: 30/08/19




2

, University College London
Department of Security and Crime Science


MSc and MRes Dissertations




STUDENT’S DECLARATION




I, Eva Thiel, hereby declare that this dissertation is my own original work and that I have clearly identified
and acknowledged all source material used. No part of this dissertation contains material previously submitted
to the examiners of this or any other university, or any material previously submitted for any other
examination.




This dissertation is 9079 words in length (including abstract but excluding reference list and reasonable use of
tables and figures).


Student’s signature: Eva Thiel


Date: 30/08/19

Student name: Eva Thiel

Supervisor name: Matt Ashby

Title of proposed project: The Study of Pedestrian Plaza’s Influence on Crime Rates in New York
City, using Geospatial Data and Focusing on Location and Seasonal variations.


3

, LONDON’S GLOBAL UNIVERSITY




Upon review of the materials that you provided, the Department of Security and Crime Science Ethics
Committee has decided that your proposed research is exempt from requiring approval by the UCL
Research Ethics Committee. This is because the proposed research either:

- does not involve human participants and/or does not involve the collection and/or use of data
derived from human individuals, or
- corresponds to one or more of the following UCL exemption criteria
(https://ethics.grad.ucl.ac.uk/exemptions.php):

Ethics exemption

1. Research involving information freely available in the public domain. For example, published biographies,
newspaper accounts of an individual's activities and published minutes of a meeting, whilst still personal data
under the Data Protection Act would not require ethics review.
2. Research involving anonymised records and data sets that exist in the public domain. For example, datasets
available through the Office for National Statistics or the UK Data Archive where appropriate permissions have
already been obtained and it is not possible to identify individuals from the information provided.
3. Studies of public behaviour that are purely observational (non-invasive and non-interactive), unless the recorded
observations identify individuals (names, photographs) which could place them at risk of harm, stigma or
prosecution.
4. Research involving the use of non-sensitive, completely anonymous educational tests, survey and interview
procedures when the participants are not defined as "vulnerable" and participation will not induce undue
psychological stress or anxiety.
5. Research involving the use of educational tests, survey and interview procedures on human participants in the
public arena (e.g. elected or appointed public officials, candidates for public office, artists).




Should your project substantially change from what you have proposed, you will need to go
through the ethics process again.



Signed: Dated: July 30, 2019

Dr Georgina Meakin
Chair, Departmental Ethics Committee
Department of Security and Crime Science
University College London




University College London, Gower Street, London WC1E 6BT

Tel: +44 (0)20 7679 2000



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MSc Crime & Forensic Science, University College London

Welcome to my Stuvia Page! I am stoked to use this platform to share my BSc & MSc notes in Crime and Forensic Science! I have always studied and conducted research solely from my notes & all my essays, exams and reports are graded A-B! Please feel free to Message me if you have any questions or specific topics you are studying in Forensics - I am sitting on hundreds and hundreds of pages worth of notes, so I truly hope this helps someone with their exams and reports. My Uploads will include Module Notes, My Graded Essays (+references), Past Exams (Q&A) and more, from my BSc in Crime Scene and Forensic Investigations at London Metropolitan University + Final Year Top Up BSc in Forensic Science at Kingston University London, and my MSc in Crime and Forensic Science at University College London (UCL). Modules covered include: GeoScience | Law and Expert Evidence | Designing and Doing Research | Quantitative Methods | Foundations of Security and Crime Science | Practices of Crime Scene Investigations and Expert Testimony | Understanding and Interpreting Forensic Evidence | Forensic Biology and DNA Interpretation | MSc 10K Words Dissertation / Final Project | x @forensicallyme

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