Updated 2026
LeadingMIndicatorsM-
MAnswerMTendMtoMpeakMandMtroughMbeforeMtheMoverallMeconomyM&MhelpMinvestorsM
anticipateMemergingMtrendsMinMeconomicMactivity.MAnticipateMchangeMbyMindicatingMwha
tMbusinessesMandMconsumersMhaveMactuallyMbegunMtoMproduceMandMspend:
-MHousingMStarts
-MManufacturer'sMnewMordersM
-MCommodityMPrices
-MAvgMhoursMworkedMperMweek
-MStockMprices
-MTheMmoneyMsupply
CoincidentMIndicatorsM-
MAnswerMChangeMatMapproxMtheMsameMtimeMandMinMtheMsameMdirectionMasMtheMwh
oleMeconomyM&MareMusefulMforMprovidingMinfoMaboutMtheMcurrentMstateMofMtheMecon
omy:
-MPersonalMincomeM
-MGDP
-MIndustrialMProduction
-MRetailMsales
LaggingMIndicatorsM-
MAnswerMChangeMafterMtheMeconomyMasMaMwholeMchangesM&MusefulMofMconfirmingMt
hatMaMchangeMtoMaMlongMtermMtrendMhasMoccurred:
-MUnemployment
-MPrivateMsectorMplantMandMequipMspendingM
-MBusinessMloansMandMinterestMonMsuchMborrowings
-MLabourMcosts
-MInflationMrate
ExpansionM-MAnswerM-MInflationMisMstable
, -
MBusinessesMhaveMadjustedMinventoriesMtoMmeetMhigherMdemandMandMareMinvestingMin
MnewMcapacityMtoMmeetMincreaseMdemand
-MCorporateMprofitsMareMrising
-MNewMbusinessMstartMupsMoutnumberMfailures
-MStockMmarketMactivityMisMstrong
-MJobMcreationMisMsteadyMandMtheMunemploymentMrateMisMsteadyMorMfalling
PeakM-MAnswerMFinalMstageMofMtheMexpansion
-MDemandMoutstripsMsupply
-MLabourMandMproductMshortagesMcauseMwageMincreasesMandMinflationMtoMrise
-MInterestMratesMriseMandMbondMpricesMfall
-MBusinessMsalesMdecline
-MStockMpricesMandMactivityMfalls
ContractionM-MAnswerM-MRealMGDPMdecreases
-MBusinessMfailuresMoutMnumberMstartups
-MFallingMemployment
-MConsumersMspendMlessMandMsaveMmore
-MFirmsMreduceMproductsMandMinvestment
TroughM-MAnswerM-MInterestMratesMfall,MtriggeringMaMbondMrally
-MInflationMfalls
-MConsumersMbeginMspending
-MStockMpricesMrally
RecoveryM-MAnswerM-MFirmsMincreaseMproductionMtoMmeetMtheMnewMdemand
-MFirmsMaren'tMreadyMtMmakeMnewMinvestments
-MUnemploymentMremainsMhigh
-MPeriodMofMwidespreadMlayoffMisMover