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PAPER 3B: Further Statistics 1

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Kelly throws a tetrahedral die n times and records the number on which it lands for each throw. She calculates the expected frequency for each number to be 43 if the die was unbiased. The table below shows three of the frequencies Kelly records but the fourth one is missing. Number 1 2 3 4 Frequency 47 34 36 x (a) Show that x = 55 (1) Kelly wishes to test, at the 5% level of significance, whether or not there is evidence that the tetrahedral die is unbiased. (b) Explain why there are 3 degrees of freedom for this test. (1) (c) Stating your hypotheses clearly and the critical value used, carry out the test. (5) _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ *P66799A0224* Question 1 continued _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________________________ (Total for Question 1 is 7 marks) *P66799A0324* 2. On a weekday, a garage receives telephone calls randomly, at a mean rate of 1.25 per 10 minutes. (a) Show that the probability that on a weekday at least 2 calls are received by the garage in a 30‑minute period is 0.888 to 3 decimal places. (2) (b) Calculate the probability that at least 2 calls are received by the garage in fewer than 4 out of 6 randomly selected, non‑overlapping 30‑minute periods on a weekday. (2) The manager of the garage randomly selects 150 non‑overlapping 30‑minute periods on weekdays. She records the number of calls received in each of these 30‑minute periods. (c) Using a Poisson approximation show that the probability of the manager finding at least 3 of these 30‑minute periods when exactly 8 calls are received by the garage is 0.664 to 3 significant figures. (4) (d) Explain why the Poisson approximation may be reasonable in this case.

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Please check the examination details below before entering your candidate information
Candidate surname Other names


Centre Number Candidate Number
Pearson Edexcel
Level 3 GCE
Time 1 hour 30 minutes
Paper
reference 9FM0/3B
Further Mathematics
Advanced
PAPER 3B: Further Statistics 1



You must have: Total Marks
Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables (Green), calculator


Candidates may use any calculator permitted by Pearson regulations.
Calculators must not have the facility for symbolic algebra manipulation,
differentiation and integration, or have retrievable mathematical formulae
stored in them.
Instructions
•• Use black ink or ball-point pen.

• Fill
If pencil is used for diagrams/sketches/graphs it must be dark (HB or B).
in the boxes at the top of this page with your name,

• labelled.
centre number and candidate number.
Answer all questions and ensure that your answers to parts of questions are clearly

• Answer the questions in the spaces provided

•• You
– there may be more space than you need.
should show sufficient working to make your methods clear.

• Values
Answers without working may not gain full credit.
from statistical tables should be quoted in full. If a calculator is used instead of

•Information
the tables the value should be given to an equivalent degree of accuracy.
Inexact answers should be given to three significant figures unless otherwise stated.

•• AThere
booklet ‘Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables’ is provided.


are 7 questions in this question paper. The total mark for this paper is 75.
The marks for each question are shown in brackets
– use this as a guide as to how much time to spend on each question.
Advice
•• Read each question carefully before you start to answer it.

•• Check
Try to answer every question.
your answers if you have time at the end.
Good luck with your examination.
Turn over



*P66799A0124*
P66799A
©2021 Pearson Education Ltd.

1/1/1/1/

,1. Kelly throws a tetrahedral die n times and records the number on which it lands for
each throw.
She calculates the expected frequency for each number to be 43 if the die was unbiased.
The table below shows three of the frequencies Kelly records but the fourth one is missing.


Number 1 2 3 4

Frequency 47 34 36 x


(a) Show that x = 55
(1)
Kelly wishes to test, at the 5% level of significance, whether or not there is evidence
that the tetrahedral die is unbiased.
(b) Explain why there are 3 degrees of freedom for this test.
(1)
(c) Stating your hypotheses clearly and the critical value used, carry out the test.
(5)
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2
*P66799A0224*

, Question 1 continued
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(Total for Question 1 is 7 marks)

3
*P66799A0324* Turn over

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