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Introductory Econometrics - Basic Probabilities

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What is Probability? PROBABILITY AS A NUMERICAL MEASURE OF THE LIKELIHOOD OF AN EVENT OCCURRING Experiments, Counting Rules, and Assigning Probabilities Counting Rules, Combinations, and Permutations COUNTING RULE FOR MULTIPLE-STEP EXPERIMENTS COUNTING RULE FOR MULTIPLE-STEP EXPERIMENTS TREE DIAGRAM FOR THE EXPERIMENT-Example Combination Permutation

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Introductory Econometrics
Module Code: EF5154J
Academic Year:2023/2024

Lecturer: Dr. Marjan Zhaf

Lecture (1): Introduction to Probability

, What is Probability?




Managers often base their decisions on an analysis of uncertainties such as the following:


➢ 1. What are the chances that sales will decrease if we increase prices?
➢ 2. What is the likelihood a new assembly method will increase productivity?
➢ 3. How likely is it that the project will be finished on time?
➢ 4. What is the chance that a new investment will be profitable?

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