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Technical losses during transmission amount to 13% and 15% in Ukraine and Macedonia, respectively, and are as high as 20% in Tajikistan. Poorly constructed buildings throughout the region provide low heating and increase energy consumption at schools, places of work, and homes. Furthermore, while the region accounts for just 12 per cent of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, this is twice the amount it should contribute, given its output. All of these factors contribute to an inadequate supply of affordable energy throughout the region – impacting households, especially poorer ones, in every country and prompting the need for action…Over the next 20 years it is estimated that investments of about $3.3 trillion – or 3% of Gross Domestic Product in the region - will be necessary to avoid severe energy shortages… 8 New investments into clean and affordable energy in the ECA region need to be climate-proof, informed of future climate scenarios, and resilient to emerging climate change risks. To achieve this long-term vision, Moldova - with UNDP support - has developed recommendations for mainstreaming climate change adaptation goals in its energy sector. Development policies and plans for the energy sector were revised to include climate risk management objectives and adaptation responses based on sectoral vulnerability screening and institutional capacity assessment. Several other ECA countries prioritised their energy sector for National Adaptation Planning work . Armenia provides another good example: Armenia’s Nationally Determined Contribution gives preference to combined actions on adaptation and mitigation. To set up the enabling environments and policy frameworks required to mainstream and accelerate climate actions, UNDP has been providing support through the joint UNDP-UN Environment National Adaptation Plans Global Support Programme (NAP-GSP), as well as through a GEF-financed project entitled ‘Capacity Building for Optimization of Information and Monitoring System in Armenia’. 8 World Bank, Brief: Energy Efficiency in Europe and Central Asia: Box 2: UNDP’s fifth signature solution focuses on closing the energy gap, underlining that: ‘Access to clean and affordable energy is a critical enabler for sustainable development whether it be for nutrition, transport, education or economic opportunity, among others’. Europe and Central Asia is one of the most energyintensive regions of the world. t urning on the lights: u nderstanding the link B etween climate change mitigation, energy develo Pment, and ada Ption in euro P e and c entral a sia With support from UNDP, the Government of Armenia also accessed a US$3 million GCF grant in 2018 for national adaptation planning process. The ‘National Adaptation Plan (NAP) to advance medium and long-term adaptation planning in Armenia’ project will support the Government of Armenia to develop a national plan for climate change adaptation and to prioritise climate change adaptation investments in priority sectors including water resources, agriculture, energy, health, tourism, and human settlement, and increase the identification of finance options. Another example of synergies between the climate change mitigation and adaptation objectives in the ECA portfolio is the flood risk reduction work in Georgia and Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) where engagements with hydro power sector stakeholders for co-operation on generation and management of weather and climate information, hazard assessments, early warning systems, and flood risk management are underway. With climate change bringing greater uncertainty on precipitation extremes, the hydropower sector is an important stakeholder for flood risk management and a beneficiary for enhanced hazard and risk information for climate-proofing of operations. Over 80 per cent of electricity in Georgia is produced by hydropower. BiH is among the leading hydropower production nations in Southern Europe due to its high hydropower potential. More frequent and intense rain events lead to intensive runoff and increased peak river flows and result in reduced power production and damage to hydropower infrastructure. UNDP’s work on flood forecasting and early warning systems in Georgia’s Rioni River Basin and in the Vrbas River Basin in Bosnia and Herzegovina provided technical knowledge on flood risks and tools to be scaled up through partnerships with the private sector and strengthened the role of hydropower plants in flood alleviation, thereby maximising their capacity to utilise flood forecasts in their operations.

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United n ations d evelopment programme

, Undp partners with people at all levels of society to help build nations
that can withstand crisis, and drive and sustain the kind of growth that
improves the quality of life for everyone. on the ground in nearly 170
countries and territories, we offer global perspective and local insight to
help empower lives and build resilient nations. www.undp.org




Published by: istanbul regional Hub regional Bureau for europe and the Cis United nations
development programme www.adaptation-undp.org

Disclaimer: the personal views reflected in the stories in this book are those of the
contributors and do not necessarily represent those of the United nations, including Undp,
or their member states.

Authors: the report preparation was led by anna Kaplina, natalia olofinskaya and milena
Kozomara, with Janine twyman mills and saran selenge as lead authors, and with
contributions from ahmet shadurdyev, ala druta, aram terZakaryan, Bellamy Jean-Joseph,
david milton, diana Harutyunyan, eglantina Bruci, Farid abbasov, geletáné varga Éva, ivane
tsiklauri, Keti Chachibaia, Klara tothova, margaretta ayoung, mariam Jorjadze, matthew
savage, nargizakhon Usmanova, natalya agalseva, neimatullo safarov, rano Baykhanova,
stanislav aganov, sultan veysov, Yegor volovik, victoria Baigazina, Yusuke taishi, Zhyldyz
Uzakbaeva, Umberto labate and greg Benchwick.

the publication was reviewed by Undp colleagues andrea egan, daniela Carrington, diana
Harutyunyan, greg Benchwick and pradeep Kurukulasuriya. valuable external expert
review, comments, and suggestions were provided by Yulia dobrolyubova (south pole
group).




Contents
Foreword 8


Executive summary 10
Technical advice and guidance:
pradeep Kurukulasuriya and a rmen g rigoryan
Copy editing: a ndrea egan and g reg Benchwick.
Design: max n ova Creative, Belgrade
Printing: Bigraf plus, Belgrade
Other photographs: a ndrea egan, eltekin o marov, eteri s havladze, Farid
a bassov, n atalia o lofinskaya, v alerii Corcimari, and the U ndp Country t eams

We would like to thank the many people in U ndp country offices around
the world, and in partner institutions, who have assisted with collating
information, drafting sections of text, assisting with sourcing or supply of
photographs, and reviewing draft material. a full list of acknowledgements is
provided on page 17.

We would also like to thank our financing partners, the a daptation Fund ( a F);
the g lobal environment Facility ( ge F) family of funds; the g reen Climate Fund
(g CF), the european Union and its member states; and other partners for their
financial support for the projects; all of which provided opportunity and space
for good ideas to take root and flourish.

Copyright © U ndp 2018

, Box 1: signature solutions of the Undp
strategic plan (2018-2021) 15 Case study 6: Climate-resilient flood and flash
flood management in georgia 68

Figure 7: Flood prevention in rioni river Basin 71
Box 6: scaling-up multi-hazard early warning system and the use
Acknowledgements 17 of climate information in georgia 72

Case study 7: iCt tools for enhanced urban resilience 74

Abbreviations and acronyms 18 Figure 8: the global goals for sustainable development 79

Case study 8: Climate-resilient flood risk management in Bosnia and
Herzegovina 80
Glossary of Commonly Used Terms 19


1. Introduction 21
4. Ecosystem-based adaptation 84
1.1 Regional overview 21
Box 4: Undp Case study 9: Building resilience in altai-sayan ecoregion 86
engagement on
Box 2: turning on the lights: Understanding the link between Case study 10: sustainable pasture management in georgia 90
public-private
climate change mitigation, energy development,
partnerships
and adaption in europe and Central asia 22 Box 7: What is Clima east? 93
32
Case study 11: Conservation and sustainable management of
1.5 An overview Box 3: three subregions of europe and Central asia 24
peatlands in Belarus 94
of current UNDP 1.2 Understanding climate risks 24
programmes
34 Case study 12: Climate resilience of armenian mountain forest
1.3 The economics of climate change adaptation 28 ecosystems 98
Table 1: europe 1.4 Gaps in adaptation finance and need for
and Central asia
climate relevant private sector engagement 30
data 2017
35
5. Fostering resilience for food security 102
Case study 13: addressing climate risks to farming systems in
Figure 1: Climate change in europe and Central asia 36

Figure 2: Financing of the Undp climate change adaptation and resilience
portfolio in europe and Central asia (2005 -2018) 36

Box 5: Undp Climate Change adaptation 37



2. Supporting integrated climate change
strategies 38
Box 6: Why national adaptation plans are
important to europe and Central asia 40

Case study 1: Capacity development for
climate risk management 42

Case study 2: Climate risk management in Central asia 46

Figure 4: drought early Warning system (deWs) in Uzbekistan 48

Case study 3: moldova national adaptation planning 52

Figure 5: moldova project interlinkages 54

Figure 6: moldova project theory of change 55
3. Advancing cross-sectoral climate-
resilient livelihoods 59
Case study 4: local development planning for resilient rural

communities in armenia 60

Case study 5: Climate resilience of farming communities in
drought-prone regions of Uzbekistan 64

, turkmenistan 106 table 2: adaptation measures in pilot regions 109 Case Case study 18: Climate resilient water and flood management in
azerbaijan 126




©r obert Kay/U ndp a lbania ©Undp a rmenia/2017 ©Undp a rmenia/2017
study 14: resilience of georgia’s agricultural biodiversity 111

Case study 19: transboundary cooperation on adaptation to
climate change in Chu and talas river basins in Kazakhstan
Case study 15: sustaining agricultural biodiversity in the face of
climate change in tajikistan 114 and
Kyrgyzstan 130

Case study 16: Climate resilience of Kazakhstan wheat and food
security 118
Conclusion 134
Annex 1. list of selected climate change adaptation projects in
europe and Central asia 138
6. Climate-resilient integrated water
resource management 121
Case study 17: adaptation to climate change in the drini-mati
river deltas in albania 122 References 140

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