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PSYC3010 comprehensive lecture notes (Psychology Research Methodology III)

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Comprehensive notes covering all lecture contents for third year psychological statistical research PSYC3010. A summary of lecture notes, tutorials and consultations, including common mistakes, lecturer's remarks and tips from previous exam observations.

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Table of Contents
Week 2 - factorial between-Ps ANOVA I: Omnibus tests ................................................... 3

One-way ANOVA ........................................................................................................... 3

Two-way ANOVA ........................................................................................................... 5

Week 3 - Factorial Between-Participants ANOVA II: Following Up Significant Effects and
Effect Sizes ....................................................................................................................... 8

Follow-up main effects & interactions ............................................................................. 8

Effect sizes .................................................................................................................. 11

Week 4 - Factorial Between-Ps ANOVA III: Higher-Order ANOVA .................................. 13

Manipulation check ...................................................................................................... 13

Higher-Order Factorial Designs.................................................................................... 13

Omnibus tests in 3-way factorial ANOVA ..................................................................... 16

Overview of follow-up tests in 3-way ANOVA ............................................................... 17

Flow chart .................................................................................................................... 20

Week 5 - Power Analysis and Blocking Designs .............................................................. 22

Statistical decisions: ..................................................................................................... 22

Power .......................................................................................................................... 22

Blocking design ............................................................................................................ 26

Blocking VS Experimental designs ............................................................................... 27

Week 6 - Correlation, Bivariate Regression, and Analysis of Covariance (ANCOVA) ...... 29

Experiments vs Correlational Designs.......................................................................... 29

Covariance and Correlation ......................................................................................... 30

Covariance................................................................................................................... 30

Correlation (Pearson’s r / bivariate correlation) ............................................................ 30

Bivariate regression ..................................................................................................... 31

ANCOVA – Analysis of Covariance .............................................................................. 33

ANCOVA vs Blocking ................................................................................................... 34

Assumptions of ANCOVA ............................................................................................ 35

Week 7 – Mid semester break (no lecture) ...................................................................... 36

,Week 8 – Standard Multiple Regression and Hierarchical Multiple Regression ............... 36

Standard multiple regression........................................................................................ 36

Partial Correlation (pr²)................................................................................................. 38

Semi-partial Correlation (sr²) ........................................................................................ 38

Zero-order, Partial, and Semi-partial Correlations ........................................................ 39

Hierarchical multiple regression: .................................................................................. 41

Week 9: Moderated Multiple Regression ......................................................................... 44

Multicollinearity and Singularity .................................................................................... 45

Moderated Multiple Regression.................................................................................... 46

Week 10 – ANZAC Day (no lecture) ................................................................................ 49

Week 11 – Moderation, Mediation and Indirect Effects .................................................... 49

Mediation ..................................................................................................................... 49

Bootstrapping mediation .............................................................................................. 50

Suppression model ...................................................................................................... 50

Mediation VS Moderation ............................................................................................. 51

Week 12 – Within-Participants ANOVA ........................................................................... 53

Introduction to within-participants designs .................................................................... 53

One-Way Within-Participants ANOVA .......................................................................... 54

Two-way within-participants ANOVA ............................................................................ 55

Mixed-model Approach ................................................................................................ 56

Sphericity: Problem and Solutions ............................................................................... 57

Epsilon () adjustments................................................................................................ 58

Multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) ................................................................ 58

Pros and cons of within-participants designs:............................................................... 59

, Week 2 - factorial between-Ps ANOVA I: Omnibus tests
Important concepts:
✓ Three omnibus tests (2 main effects and interactions)
✓ Sources of variances in one-way & two-way ANOVA
✓ how F-ratio is calculated
✓ structural model of one-way & two-way ANOVA

Analysis of Variance (ANOVA)
- it is the partitioning of variables
- it compares 2/more conditions to test an association between variables
- it is an Omnibus test/technique
- Test statistic = F-ratio

Variance:
The dispersion or spread of scores around a point of central tendency (the mean)
—> how spread out are the scores when compared to the mean?

Error variance: Treatment variance:

- Due to random/unmeasured - Systematic differences due to the
influences manipulation of IV
- X be explained - can be explained
- Within-group variance - Between-group variance


One-way ANOVA

Source of variance:

Total variation


Between-group variation Within-group variation




Systematic variance due to membership in Error variance due to random chance /
different groups/treatment X unmeasured influences

n ∑(̅̅̅̅ ̅. )²
𝑋𝑗 + 𝑋 ∑(𝑋𝑖𝑗 + 𝑋̅𝑗 )²

, Hypothesis testing for one-way ANOVA
Hypotheses for 2 means
- Statistical Hypotheses
- 𝐻0 : 𝜇1 = 𝜇2




- 𝐻1 : 𝜇𝑗 ≠ 𝜇.
- Conceptual Hypotheses
- Null hypothesis: no differences between treatment means
- Alternative hypothesis: difference between treatment means

Hypotheses for 3+ means
- Statistical Hypotheses
- 𝐻0 : 𝜇1 = 𝜇2 = 𝜇3 = ⋯ 𝜇𝑗 𝜇𝑗 = mean of
- 𝐻1 : 𝜇𝑗 ≠ 𝜇. group j
- Conceptual Hypotheses 𝜇. = grand mean
- Null hypothesis: no differences between treatment means
- Alternative hypothesis: difference between treatment means

How to Calculate F-ratio?

Sum of Squares (SS):
- A measure of variability
Treatment sum of squares: 𝑆𝑆𝑡𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡 or 𝑆𝑆𝑚𝑜𝑑𝑒𝑙 or 𝑆𝑆𝑏𝑒𝑡𝑤𝑒𝑒𝑛
- between-groups variability
- How much each group mean varies from the grand mean
Error sum of squares: 𝑆𝑆𝑒𝑟𝑟𝑜𝑟 or 𝑆𝑆𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑖𝑑𝑢𝑎𝑙 or 𝑆𝑆𝑤𝑖𝑡ℎ𝑖𝑛
- within-groups variability
- How much do individual scores in each group vary from that group’s mean

Mean squares (MS):
- An index/measure of variability among sample statistics
- We calculate mean squares to estimate:
- Between-groups variance: 𝑀𝑆𝑡𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡
- Within-groups variance: 𝑀𝑆𝑒𝑟𝑟𝑜𝑟
- is roughly equivalent to 𝑠 2 (sample variance) in a t-test
- is a good estimate of 𝜎𝑒2 (population variance)

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