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Report on Public Debt Growth in Malaysia (2014–2024) – Trends, Determinants, Long-Term Implications, and Debt Management Approaches (Comprehensive Analysis)

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This document provides an in-depth analysis of Malaysia’s public debt from 2014 to 2024, examining debt concepts, types, and financing sources. It discusses key drivers of debt accumulation, including fiscal deficits, economic fluctuations, interest rate dynamics, structural imbalances, and external shocks. The report further explores the long-term implications for economic growth, fiscal sustainability, private investment, and macroeconomic stability, drawing on recent empirical studies. It concludes with a thorough review of Malaysia’s debt management strategies, including fiscal rules, debt structure optimisation, revenue mobilisation, and policy coordination.

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GMGF2023 PENTADBIRAN KEWANGAN


REPORT ON PUBLIC DEBT GROWTH IN MALAYSIA



1.0 Introduction

1.1 Concept of Public Debt

Public debt is the total amount of money a government owes to

creditors, both domestic and international (Kudrjashov, 2024). It constitutes a

fundamental component of modern economic systems, serving as a critical

tool for governments to finance their operations and stimulate economic

growth (Shaari et al., 2023). Public debt is the aggregate financial obligations

incurred by the state when it borrows resources from various sources to bridge

the gap between government revenues and expenditures (Gasanov, 2022). The

concept is essential for understanding fiscal sustainability and macroeconomic

stability, as it reflects the government's capacity to meet its current and future

financial obligations without compromising economic development (Chesoli

& Wafula, 2020).

1.2 Types of Debt and Sources of Debt Financing

According to I.V. Kudashkin et al. (2021), public debt is classified

according to several dimensions. The primary distinction is between domestic

debt and external debt. Domestic debt refers to borrowing from sources within

the country, such as government securities, domestically issued bonds, and

loans from local financial institutions. In contrast, external debt involves

borrowing from foreign creditors, international organisations, and overseas

investors. This distinction is important because domestic and external debts

have different implications for economic growth and fiscal sustainability

, GMGF2023 PENTADBIRAN KEWANGAN


(Joshi et al., 2025). Additionally, public debt can be classified as short- and

long-term debt based on maturity periods; productive debt (financing growth-

enhancing projects) and unproductive debt (funding consumption or non-

productive activities); and concessional and non-concessional debt based on

interest rates and terms (Chesoli & Wafula, 2020).

Governments access a variety of debt financing sources (Kudrjashov,

2024). These include government securities and bonds issued in both domestic

and international markets, loans from international financial institutions such

as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank, bilateral loans

from other governments, commercial bank lending, and, in some cases, central

bank financing via monetary expansion (Cheberyako & Zakrushevskyi, 2023).

In Malaysia, the government has relied on domestic sources through

Malaysian Government Securities (MGS) and international sources such as

Eurobonds and loans from multilateral institutions (Ramasamy et al., 2024).



2.0 Growth of Public Debt in Malaysia (2014-2024)

Malaysia's public debt has grown significantly over the past decade, mirroring

broader macroeconomic trends and fiscal policy responses to economic challenges

(Hidthiir et al., 2025). From 2014 to 2024, debt accumulation fluctuated due to shifts

in government revenues, expenditure patterns, and external economic conditions.

Between 2008 and 2022, Malaysia experienced complex dynamics in its debt

structure (Ramasamy et al., 2024). The government's response to the COVID-19

pandemic necessitated substantial fiscal expansion measures to combat the economic

downturn and safeguard the economy. During this period, the current account surplus

decreased significantly to RM5.6 billion in the second quarter of 2020, representing

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